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Showing posts from March, 2023

Final selections

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And that's it, all games are done.  Here is the final update. 

Penultimate seed list - based on games played on March 11

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Just five more games before the selection committee announces the bracket.  The seed list assumes that Alabama , Houston , Purdue , VCU , and Yale all win.  Here are the changes that will take place depending on the results of todays games: If Texas A&M wins, they move up to bump San Diego St. and others down.  If Memphis wins, they move up to bump Boise St. and others down. If Penn St. wins, they move up to bump Missouri and others down. If Dayton wins, they move up to bump Col. of Charleston and others down and VCU comes off the board. If Princeton wins, they move up to bump UC Santa Barbara and others down and Yale comes off the board.

Updated seed list - based on games played on March 10

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Eye test day today... lots of movement in the seed list reflecting games played yesterday as well as a review across the board to make sure things still seemed reasonable. 

Updated seed list - based on games played on March 9

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Lots of important games yesterday.  Biggest changes to the seed list are: Kansas moving up to the top overall seed after posting a 16th win against Q1 teams.  Pretty difficult to see how they don't keep this even if they don't win their conference tournament. Nevada dropping down from a should be in to just above the cut line on the bubble.  They likely only need to win last night to put them in the locks group, but not they will might have a long wait on Sunday evening. Oklahoma St. and Michigan moving to the bottom of the bubble list after getting their 15th loss.  Probably should come right off the list after hitting that magic number, but if bubble teams keep losing, you never know. Penn St. moves on to the good side of the bubble list with a quality win last night after Oklahoma St. took itself out of contention.

Updated seed list - based on games played on March 8

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Not much movement in the seed list again today. A few bubble teams were in action last night... Pittsburgh and Arizona St. had wins that should keep them above the cut line for now.  Oklahoma St. and NC State had stronger wins, but not really strong enough for them to move up the list. Wisconsin would really like a do-over of their game last night as they were already below the cut line and the loss means that they have to sit and hope other bubble teams have quick exits from their conference games. North Carolina and New Mexico had wins against some relatively weak opponents, but that should keep them in the conversation for a while longer at least. New auto-bids went to  Montana St. ,  Colgate , and  A&M-Corpus Christi as expected and  Iona ,  Grambling , and  N. C. Central all won their games to keep them on track for their conference titles.

Updated seed list - based on games played on March 7

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Gonzaga, Drake, Oral Roberts, Col. Of Charleston, Northern Ky., and FDU all locked in last night in as expected (technically FDU was locked in when they made their conference finals) and no real bubble teams were in action, so no changes to the seed list today. Lots of bubble teams begin their congerence tournaments today, so things could start moving.

Updated seed list, based on games played on March 6.

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Couple of auto bids were confirmed yesterday (Louisiana and Northern Kentucky).  No bubble teams played yesterday and Saint Mary's (CA) and Gonzaga both did what they needed to, so not much movement in the seed list. I will be taking a look over the updated Coach's and AP poll results later this morning and tweaking some positions if needed.  
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Updated seed list, based on all games played on March 5, 2023.  Not much movement today, but two auto bids replace previous picks.
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Updated seed list, based on all games played on March 4.  Most of the big tournaments haven't started yet, so not a lot of movement yet.  Slightly different format to the table today as who would be in the play-in games was not clear.

NCAA MBB - predicting the field of 68

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I've been doing various sports predictions for over 20 years, mostly for the NHL, the NFL, and NCAA men's basketball. Never been much of a bettor, but I've been able to upgrade my TV a couple of times, get a nice stereo, plus a few nice LEGO sets from participating in office pools over the years. I've been predicting the field for the NCAA men's basketball champtionship since 2005, mostly just for fun as there are not a lot of pools for this that I've been able to find.  A few years ago, I came across the  BracketProject  and found it a useful site to compare my results with many others who have significant interest in NCAA MBB. This year, I am finally getting around to setting up a blog so that I can get my predictions recorded in the BracketProject results. Here is my first pass at picking the seeds for this year's tournament.  I will try to update this most days right up until Selection Sunday.